5 Reasons I Still Won’t Draft Peyton Manning

Peyton Manning has now returned to practice, but there’s still too much bad juju around old buckethead for me to consider touching him for my fantasy team.

I can’t believe that I’m actually going to say it, but this season, it’s better to pass on the definition of a stud fantasy quarterback. I have my reasons…

1) The knee – I know he’s “on schedule” to return to start in Week 1, and truthfully, I believe he will start Week 1 against Chicago whether he is fully healthy or not. The Colts are opening a new stadium, after all, and Manning IS the franchise with a consecutive start record to uphold.

However, say the Colts get ahead early with some runs by Addai and maybe just one touchdown grab. That’s not out of the question against the Chicago Bears this season. Who thinks Manning might see sit early “just to rest a bit?”

Even past Week 1, Manning is just a big hit away from irritating his knee or having it swell back up on him. They’ll handle him with tiny little baby gloves to start the season, but he’s going to be in danger all year from the sound of it.

2) No Saturday – Don’t worry, college football fans; game day still exists.

I’m talking Jeff Saturday, starting center for the Colts. He looks like he’ll miss the season opener and maybe the entire season at this point with his knee injury. That means a lack of sync at the line, botched snaps and weaker protection for Manning.

3) Deteriorating Marvin Harrison – Harrison, sadly, will never be the same guy he was pre-injury last season. If he were going to be, he probably would have rushed back to the field faster. My gut tells me that Harrison has faded significantly.

Sure, Reggie Wayne isn’t exactly settling, but Anthony Gonzalez is just coming along as a rookie. The offense just won’t look the same as it used to with Harrison as the focus at WR, and I don’t like that.

4) Emergence of Joseph Addai – He was phenomenal last year, but this year could be the “Woah” year for Addai. With Manning a little gimpy, he won’t hesitate to dump passes to Addai when he gets into trouble. Plus, the Dominic Rhodes signing gives Addai some decent run support so that he can get his breathers. If Addai starts handling this offense, I think Manning sits back a bit and loses that little bit of production.

5) Idiots – Regardless of what I put here, everyone that doesn’t read this list is still going to really like Peyton Manning.

He sits near the top of all the quarterback rankings everywhere, and some people in your league may not even realize that he might not start Week 1. He’s going to go high in your drafts, and at a first or even second round price, he’s not worth it. There are other fish in the sea.

My recommendation if you want to go QB early? Draft Tony Romo or Drew Brees ahead of Manning.

Romo passed up Manning last year in scoring, and Brees led the league in passes attempted last year. Just imagine if more Saints receivers started catching the ball? I like both of them better going into drafts this week.

Just let Manning have a year off.

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  • http://footballjabber.com Lee

    I agree. I have been taking some flack for dropping him to #4 in our re-draft rankings. People don’t realize that if he misses games those are fantasy points lost and others will total more points.

    Sure, he will put up good numbers when he is in but I would rather go with one of the other guys who have a stable of weapons and are not on injury watch.

  • http://footballjabber.com Lee

    I agree. I have been taking some flack for dropping him to #4 in our re-draft rankings. People don’t realize that if he misses games those are fantasy points lost and others will total more points.

    Sure, he will put up good numbers when he is in but I would rather go with one of the other guys who have a stable of weapons and are not on injury watch.

  • http://www.fantasyfootballfools.com Jacob

    @Lee:

    I definitely agree. Romo and Brees are probably going to put up similar numbers to Manning this year anyway. My biggest concern even if he doesn’t miss games is that he will re-injure his knee when he takes a hit later this season and possibly miss some time or be taken out of games early to prevent swelling.

    Manning had six games last year where he put up only one touchdown and some yardage. With his injury, he’ll probably have a few more of those early this season, and we all know he gets pulled near the end of the season as long as the Colts are set to win their division. This year is just a bad one to take Manning in the first or early second round.

  • http://www.fantasyfootballfools.com Jacob

    @Lee:

    I definitely agree. Romo and Brees are probably going to put up similar numbers to Manning this year anyway. My biggest concern even if he doesn’t miss games is that he will re-injure his knee when he takes a hit later this season and possibly miss some time or be taken out of games early to prevent swelling.

    Manning had six games last year where he put up only one touchdown and some yardage. With his injury, he’ll probably have a few more of those early this season, and we all know he gets pulled near the end of the season as long as the Colts are set to win their division. This year is just a bad one to take Manning in the first or early second round.

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