College now. We’re de-evolving.

I don’t know if any of you noticed while you were painting your ‘Tebow 4 Prez’ signs, but we have now posted up our first contribution to the college sports commentary arena.

Although you probably didn’t listen to our statistical berating, Mr. Heisman voter, you should have. You heard me.

Look for more stuff you should know from the Cam man, Cameron, as he continues to contribute, and I continue to justify to myself in the mirror why I help other people get better at fantasy football.

Who’s that sly mug right there? Oh right, that’s me.

And the Heisman goes to…

This year’s Heisman chase is coming down to what looks like a two-man race. Most pundits have either Tim Tebow of Florida or Darren McFadden of Arkansas as the eventual winner. In their eyes, these are the only two players worthy of such an award. Making use of a trite and overused saying, especially if you have played NCAA ’02 through ’08, “Not so fast my friend.”

I’m not saying that Tebow or McFadden shouldn’t win the award; I’m merely stating that other candidates should be looked at as well. Here is a list of some of the candidates that are or should be up for the award.

THE SHOE-INS

Tim Tebow: The Cannonball

If there is one thing that you can’t ignore about Tim Tebow, it’s the numbers: 29 passing touchdowns, 22 rushing touchdowns. That will grab anyone’s attention, especially the voters. There is just one number I can’t ignore: 3, as in 3 losses. I know this has been a crazy year and all, but it’s hard for me to say that someone is a Heisman winner when his team is 9-3.

Let’s look at those losses:

  • Auburn: 1 rushing TD, 1 passing TD, 1 INT
  • LSU: 2 passing TDs, 1 rushing TD, 1 INT
  • Georgia: 1 passing TD, 2 rushing TDs (-15 yard rushing)

Tebow did not play exceptionally well in any of those games. I know they were tough games, but that is when the Heisman winner is supposed to shine.

Lets take a look at the rushing touchdowns. I know he is being praised for having 22 rushing touchdowns, but let’s look at the numbers. Eighty percent (16/20) of these rushing TDs were distances of 5 yards or less. If Florida used a fullback, he would be getting most of these carries. Only two of his touchdowns were plays of 15 yards. When I see Tebow, I think of a cannonball that was just shot out of the 1st and 2 from the goal cannon.

Heisman-Tim Tebow
Ready…Aim…Touchdown!

I’m not trying to take away from the fact that he put up amazing TD numbers because he did. I just think that the voters need to recognize that they all weren’t amazingly difficult touchdowns. All in all, Tebow will either be first or second in the voting, and deservedly so, but other candidates should not be brushed aside because of it.

Darren McFadden: The Quarterback?

Next, there is Darren McFadden. The Pro. The Prospect. The Future. These are all things I hear about McFadden. He is being touted as the most NFL-ready running back this year and rightfully so. I believe he can be as productive as Adrian Peterson at the next level.

All that behind us, the Heisman should go to the best college player of the year. McFadden had an outstanding year, but lead his team to an 8-4 record. Usually, the quarterback is the leader of the team, but hell, McFadden played quarterback half of the time, so he should shoulder some of the blame.

During Arkansas’ four losses, McFadden scored 3 times. Two of the losses he was held scoreless. For someone to be considered the best, I believe he should perform on the biggest stage and perform well. Not scoring when it is absolutely crucial is a big no no. I do give props to McFadden for playing some quarterback during the LSU victory. I also give props to McFadden for living in Arkansas for three years–that is worthy of a Heisman in its self. While McFadden was an outstanding back and will be an excellent pro, I do not believe that he was the best college back this year. We’ll talk about that back later.

Heisman-Darren McFadden
Arkansas, home of Heisman hopefuls…and pigs, that’s about it

THE REST OF THE PACK

Now these guys in the rest of the pack won’t be scrutinized as hard seeing as they are not being actively considered as the front runners in the race. These are players that I feel should get some recognition for having good years.

Graham Harrell, Paul Smith, Colt Brennan: The Three Headed Scoring Machine

What do most fans of college football want to see? The answer isn’t a foot race between Mark Mangino and his chins; the answer is touchdowns. Where else are you going to find touchdown than the high-octane offenses featuring Graham Harrell, Colt Brennan and Paul Smith. Let’s take a look at the stats of these guys.

  • Graham Harrell [QB Texas Tech]:
    45 TD (Rank:1), 5,298 yds (Rank:1)
  • Paul Smith [QB Tulsa]:
    42 TD (Rank:2), 4,753 yds (Rank:2), 12 Rushing TDs
  • Colt Brennan [QB Hawaii]:
    38 TD (Rank:3), 4,174 yds (Rank:4)

Heisman-Graham Harrell, Colt Brennan, Paul Smith
And to the right, you will see ZERO Heisman votes

I know you can’t go off of numbers alone, but these numbers are incredible. All of these quarterbacks have also put up similar or better records to the two main contenders. Because of these high-flying offenses, these players are labeled as system quarterback and always will be labeled that way. It’s an easy way for the Heisman voters to dismiss their successful seasons without feeling bad about it. Maybe one of these quarterbacks will just have to go undefeated…Oh wait, sorry Colt.

Chase Daniel: The Mighty Midget

Oh Chase Daniel, how mighty you were two weeks ago. Two weeks ago, you were in the drivers seat for the Heisman, and all you needed was a victory over Oklahoma. How soon everyone forgets about that.

Chase Daniel had a magnificent season throwing for 33 TDs and leading his team to the Big XII championship game, something neither Tebow nor McFadden did. Too bad he had to run into OU and Sam Bradford, who will be in the Heisman discussion soon enough. While Daniel didn’t put up in-your-face numbers, he still led his team to victory week after week while being the best quarterback on the best team (for one week). Daniel did all of this while barely being able to see over the offensive line and standing in at 5 foot 3 inches.

Heisman-Chase Daniels
I can see your ass from here

While he will no doubt get an invite because of the late season hype, he will not come close to sniffing the jocks of the big two. I say to Chase, “maybe next year.” But then again, Tebow may win his second Heisman, so good luck with that.

Kevin Smith: Barry Who?

Now let’s take a look at my choice for the 2007 Heisman award.

  • Most rushing yards in the NCAA, check.
  • Leads nation in scoring and touchdowns scored, check.
  • Led team to 10 wins and conference championship, check.

What else do you want from a Heisman winner? What most people don’t realize is that Kevin Smith has rushed for 2,448 yards. What most people also don’t realize is that 2, 448 yards is the SECOND most all time for yards in a season, behind the elusive one-year-wonder Barry Sanders. In fact, Kevin Smith is 181 yards away from breaking Sander’s single season mark. One big bowl game for Kevin Smith, and he breaks it.

He will not be invited to the ceremony, and that is a shame. The best college football player this year has to wait until next year, but I doubt he will stick around to get snubbed again.

Heisman-Kevin Smith
Hey Barry, if you sell your Heisman like OJ, let me know.

Week 14: Save me for the playoffs! Save me!

We will do something a little different this week.

Considering that you are probably either entering the playoffs or crying with the stall door closed in the men’s (or women’s) restroom, we are just going to take a look at the players that could replace your injured starters.

Of those players that are starting, just look back through previous week’s waiver pick ups to see who you might have missed, but I would assume the names are probably familiar to you if you have been doing your research all season. These guys might not be on your radar.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Bryant Johnson, WR ARI
Everyone is hurting in Arizona WR group. Watch the injury reports, but Johnson should be one of the two starters come Sunday. He has already been involved in the offense and should continue to be.

Arnaz Battle, WR SF
Battle has a TD in his last two games and headsinto some nice match ups with the Vikings and Bengals in weeks 14 and 15.

Sidney Rice, WR MIN
He did it again. Rice has a TD in his last two games as well. Even though the Vikings passing game hasn’t been a highlight this season, Rice has the big play ability. Take a risk on him only if you have a receiver not playing up to their potential here at the end of the season, but I mentioned him last week as well.

Mike Furrey/Shaun McDonald, WR DET
If the rumor that Roy Williams is out for the rest of the season is true, these two should clean up catching passes from Kitna in his absence. They definitely won’t have much luck running the ball in the fantasy playoffs against Dallas, San Diego and Kansas City.

RUNNING BACKS

Chris Brown, RB TEN
LenDale White’s injury is not too serious–just a finger–but he will probably continue to split time. If you are desperate, he breaths and runs with a football. The Titnas don’t have a great match up until week 16 against the Jets, but by then, they will probably have all three running backs taking carries against the weak Jets run defense.

Ladell Betts, RB WAS
If you have Portis, it is a must to have Betts on your roster. This week especially since Portis was hurt in the game and may/may not start this next week.

Reuben Droughns, RB NYG
Droughns could be the starter for a few games with Jacobs out and Ward breaking his leg this past Sunday. Watch the injury reports on Jacobs. If Droughns finishes the regular season, he will have a nice match up against Buffalo behind the strong Giants line in week 16.

Fred Jackson, RB BUF
He just might be the starter for Buffalo agianst Miami this weekend, but Marshawn Lynch might also return this week and make things difficult to call. He looked good starting this past week and broke 150 yards with his rushing and reception yards. Check Lynch at practice this week.

QUARTERBACKS

Sage Rosenfels, QB HOU
Word is that Schaub might be out for the season with his dislocated shoulder. Rosenfels would finish out the season against Tampa Bay, Denver and Indy. Not promising, but if you need a QB, he might now be the starter.

Gus Frerotte, QB STL
He’s only valuable for a few games until Marc Bulger comes back for the Rams, which might be this week, but he has a miraculous match up against Cincinnati in week 14 if Bulger does sit before it gets darker from there with Green Bay and Pittsburgh. He is prone to throw INTs, but he also likey the touchdowns.

Vinny Testaverde, QB CAR
Vinny might be the starter now in Carolina, and even though they aren’t utilizing Steve Smith lately, they are still scoring TDs. They play the Jags this week, so you know they are going to have to throw. Follow that with a Seattle and Dallas match up that are decent but not great for the old guy.

Dangerous plays at QB: Rex Grossman, Brodie Croyle, Trent Edwards, John Beck
Use them at your own risk. They have no good match ups and could leave you with more turnovers than TDs in the playoffs. A quarterback is one of the positions that can make or break your week–especially this year.

Playoff Prep: Top Fantasy RBs for the 2007 Playoffs

Smitty of Fantasy Football Xtreme has put together a list of the top 10 fantasy running backs to have for the playoffs. Consider yourself lucky if you have any of the fools listed, and cry if your first round opponent has more than one of the top 10. Just cry.

While I agree with most of the list, I do have some slight adjustments. Smitty’s list is:

  1. Adrian Peterson (MIN)
  2. LaDainian Tomlinson
  3. Brian Westbrook
  4. Steven Jackson
  5. Joseph Addai
  6. Frank Gore
  7. Willie Parker
  8. Ryan Grant
  9. Reggie Bush
  10. Marion Barber

I agree completely with most of the list and rankings, but I do think that Addai and Ryan Grant deserve to be bumped a little higher. Addai has been consistent thus far and has a match up against Oakland in Week 15 that blows away the downside of his match up against the Ravens in week 14. I would trust him more than I would trust Steven Jackson for my playoff run

Ryan Grant has shown he is a back that can break down even tough defenses with the Green Bay offense, and he plays Oakland first round, St. Louis second round, and Chicago on the week you are probably in your championship game (Week 16). He could very well put up some disgusting numbers for your team, and I might rank him about Willie Parker and Frank Gore for just that reason. His match ups are just better.

At 10, Smitty points out that Ernest Graham, Larry Johnson and Travis Henry could all be a factor around the end of this list depending upon their health and suspension status. I would add to that list Willis McGahee–hopefully you didn’t sit him tonight, if so, I hope you’re not watching him break through the Patriots linebackers. McGahee plays the Colts, Miami and Seattle during your playoffs. I guess that technically makes the list like a top 15 instead of a top 10. But hey, maybe it includes one of your RB and gives you that much more of a reason to go on living, so sue me.

Week 13: Waiver wire replacements for your injuries, sir

Oh, you weren’t starting to settle into a nice little butt groove going into the last week before playoffs were you? I’m sorry. If you didn’t notice, several starters just fell apart this week leaving you in the position to grab up the next starter before you playoff opponents or in great need of grabbing your back ups if you didn’t handcuff.

This week we’ll combine the injury report and waiver wire.

Philip Rivers, QB SD
Keep your eye on Rivers. Even though he has been inconsistent, he could emerge as a promising starter for your playoff run if another owner has already given up on him.

Kolby Smith, RB KC
If no one picked him up last week, does 150+ yards and 2 TDs convince you? Of course, that was against Oakland, but Smith should get his yards as the focus of the Kansas City offense as long as Larry Johnson stays out.

Roddy White, WR ATL
Harrington is going to look to White when they make a play. He’s consistent if you have a hit or miss WR that might give you trouble in the playoffs.

Trent Edwards, QB BUF
If you are hurting–and I mean hurting–at QB, you are probably stuck with one of the Trents. Trent Edwards was not much more than a game manager during his previous stint as a starter in Buffalo. He needs to meet a guy name Lee Evans before he will make his mark fantasy-wise, but for the moment, he will start over J.P. Losman to end this season. If you just need a starter, he is breathing and starting for the moment for the Bills.

Trent Dilfer, QB SF
He’s the other Trent. With Alex Smith in recovery, Dilfer put up decent numbers–250+ yards and 2 TDs. It’s hard to say which Trent would be a better addition to your roster, but Dilfer does have the better match up this week with Cleveland.

Anthony Thomas, RB BUF
Marshawn Lynch looks to be out again this week, so as long as Thomas’ own injury from Sunday is minor, he should get the start. Considering the Buffalo Trent, Trent Edwards, is back as a starter for the first game in his new stint, look for them to give Thomas plenty of carries against Washington.

Adrian Peterson, RB CHI
Peterson is now the full-time starter with Cedric Benson ending his dismal season with injury on Sunday. Don’t expect big numbers because the Bears don’t have an easy street schedule to end the season, but Peterson can be a decent number 2 RB.

Andre Hall and/or Cecil Sapp, RB DEN
The value here is all about injuries. Travis Henry is out with his knee, and Selvin Young was hurt last week and sat out Sunday. Andre Hall tweaked his own ankle in the game Sunday but played through the injury. Depending upon who returns, Hall and Young could split carries or if everyone is hurt, Cecil Sapp could start for the Broncos. Shanny is unpredictable, and this call could all come down to a game time decision.

Patrick Cobbs, RB MIA
With Ricky Williams ending his NFL season with less than 20 yards and a fumble and Chatman going out again Monday night with a neck injury, the Dolphins might have to look at Cobbs for the remainder of the season or until Chatman gets back in shape. He’s a dangerous start, but he could be a factor against the Jets.

Reuben Droughns, RB NYG
He wasn’t completely dismal against the Vikings tough run D and unless Derrick Ward returns to start this week, look for Droughns to get the start again against the low-ranked Chicago run defense.

Tony Scheffler, TE DEN
Back from injury, Scheffler has become a factor with Jay Cutler in the second half of the season. Consider picking him up if you need a good back up TE for the playoffs or have an underperforming TE–even one like Greg Olsen or Owen Daniels.

LJ Smith, TE PHI
Some owners gave up on him as he struggled to get healthy at the beginning of the year, but LJ is now back to his usual in Philadelphia. I think Scheffler has the bigger upside, but Smith can be consistent as long as the Eagles QB situation doesn’t get too chaotic.

Sidney Rice, WR MIN
He’s hit or miss, but if you want a big play WR to help you out for this final week of glory or in your playoff run, Rice has big play ability.

Injury Blurb: Reggie Bush still banged up and a Testy stiff back

vinny testaverdeNew Orleans’ Reggie Bush is still whining about his injuries a bit, so he is a game time decision–always ominous–for Sunday. Make sure you check the reports before you set your roster. Stecker would fill in, but you really want Bush for this one. He said earlier in the week that he could play through the pain and be a tough guy, but check the reports tomorrow morning just in case.

Carolina’s Vinny Testaverde came in Friday with a stiff back–what did he do Thursday night? He may be in danger of losing the start to David Carr this week. For Steve Smith owners, that’s right, pray for Vinny to get it together. David Carr hates Steve Smith because Smith made fun of his little gloves. They never play nice together.

Questions Answered: What am I to do with Tom Brady?

This week I decided to take a little looksey in my search logs and answer the questions you were asking Google instead of asking me. It seems several people are scared about what to do if they have Tom Brady here at the end of the season. I am sure you are all quaking with fear here at the end of the season with losing record with that unpredictable rascal Brady on your team? Sure you are.

What you wondering is whether they are going to start sitting Brady for the playoffs pretty soon–don’t count on it. The Patriots have already stated more than once that they want to focus on playing complete games. Whether they have a bunch of pent up aggression from the spy camera scandal at the start of the season or whether they just don’t want to blow a game to the Colts like they did last year, the Patriots are not going to let themselves fall into complacency here at the end of the season.

Now the smart move, if you are still listening rather than jumping up and down fist pumping because Brady just scored another touchdown–I hate you, by the way–you should pick up Matt Cassel–not because of his dashing Brady-like appearance but because he gives you two strong plus points.

If anything were to happen to the force that is Tom Brady this season, Cassel would be the guy to step in and throw those lazy shots over the middle to Randy Moss, Donte Stallworth and the speedster Wes Welker. If you don’t think Brady’s nagging shoulder is going to take him out this season, then the second bonus of having Cassel on your team is that if they do start sitting Brady, you have a decent play to fill in at QB until the Brady-ster returnsl to glory. If the Patriots’ contract with the devil expires and they LOSE a game this season, they just might sit Brady for playoffs and let Cassel get some reps in to boost the ol’ confidence.

Of course, if you want to avoid having to make a call altogether about whether Brady will sit/start, the easy solution is to carry a second starting QB on your roster and plug them in when necessary–say a sly old dog like Kurt Warner or even a chippy young thing like a turning around Vince Young or J.P. Losman could even give you some decent fantasy points down the stretch. These QBs just might still be on the wire in your leagues, and have mostly easy match ups to close the season.

Week 12 Injury Update: Rookie RB Switcheroo for Lynch and Peterson

Minnesota rookie Adrian Peterson has been updated to questionable for this week against the New York Giants. By questionable, Minnesota probably means “scaring the Giants defensive game plan.” I have to doubt that they would throw him to the wolves on his first game back from injury against the bruising Giants blitz attack unless they agree that they have no offense besides their running game. If he does suit up, I would expect Chester Taylor to still have the start. If you are praying for his return this week, make sure you have another smart play.

The Buffalo Bill’s rookie RB Marshawn Lynch, without a doubt the second-best rookie RB in the league this year, will not play again this week against Jacksonville. From what I hear, the Jacksonville defense is pretty tough, so I wouldn’t have liked to see the second best rookie breaking out against them on his return from an ankle injury. Maybe we will see him back in week 13 against Washington, and maybe running backs will start putting up the points they used to before the NFL changed to an all-throwing league.

And now, a funeral for Larry Johnson’s season

LJ profile

R.I.P. LJ’s 2007 Fantasy Season

He came in with such high hopes this season–heralded as one of the top RBs in fantasy and setting a franchise record with his latest contract with the Chiefs.

And then, he went and performed like a back up for the first four games of the season. I’ll hold that against him considering he was killing one of my fantasy teams by stinkin’ up the joint. Luckily, he came back to form in week 4 and exploded weeks 6 through week 9, when the Packers forced him to leave the game with an official undisclosed injury.

A now an moment of silence for LJ…

That’s all that has been coming out the Kansas City camp since his injury, but now, we finally get confirmation that he has a Lisfranc fracture similar to what Kevin Jones suffered from last season. Since they are being so quiet, and LJ vows to return, they may feel that his injury is not going to be that major, but considering that he sits this week against Oakland, the only good match up he has left is week 14 in Denver. After that game, he faces Tennessee for week 15–not helping you much in the playoffs–and then Detroit for most championships in week 16.

It seems unlikely that he will make it back by then–or even make it back in time to not share carries with Kolby Smith on his return, so for fantasy purposes, his season is probably done. Move on, nothing to see here. Just a undisclosed injury trying to keep your fantasy hopes alive. Give up the roster spot and pick up someone with a brighter future ahead unless you are in some kind of crazy keeper league. LJ might play again this year, but probably not best to hold out for it to be your team unless you are stacked at RB.

Prepping your defense for the fantasy playoffs

I am featuring The 5 Minute Drill once again this week just in case you missed last week’s posting and because they have some good advice for defenses down the stretch and in the playoffs.

Pick up Tampa Bay or Arizona if you defense is putting up something close to Bengals numbers–and punch yourself in the face for not doing it sooner.

[Note: Week 12 episode of “The 5 Minute Drill” removed due to ONnetworks going offline. You can view the podcasts on iTunes or find out more about them at the Footballguys.com link above.]