• Posts Tagged ‘sleeper’

    Injuries are more random than your brain might think

    by  • September 7, 2012 • Injury Updates • 0 Comments

    Despite his doucheyness, I am a big fan of  Fantasy Douche’s thoughtful perspective on the fantasy football game and how we perceive it. On that note, I’ll highlight a great point he made this preseason in explaining recency bias in terms of calling players injury prone.  In many cases, our brains are fooling us.

    The problem is this:   If a player has had a lot of recent injuries then our expectation is that they will have a lot more.  If a player hasn’t had many recent injuries then our expectation is that they will remain healthy.  That’s as complicated as our thinking process gets and I don’t think it’s particularly enlightened or anything that we should be putting a lot of stock in.

    You can’t go back and change how you drafted this season, but let Douche’s words sink in this season. And ponder this…if recency bias affects the way we think of players as injury prone, how does it affect who we decide to grab off the waiver wire? And how does it influence us to jump on the wrong players when they have a big week only to be disappointed by their lack of production after that breakout performance?

    Don’t let Russell Wilson start the year on your waiver wire

    by  • September 3, 2012 • Waiver Wire • 0 Comments

    If you’re looking for a bang-or-bust QB2 to stash behind an elite QB1, put a claim in on Russell Wilson. The Seattle offense may not be explosive, but Wilson showed his ability to produce big fantasy weeks this preseason. If he does surprise us all by Cam Newton-ing the first few weeks of the season, you’re going to want to have him on your roster.

    As Fantasy Douche explained in his thinking on quarterbacks:

    The thing about quarterbacks who will tuck the ball and run is that they’re like a waterbed. Push it down in one spot and it pops up in another. They’ll pass first if they can, but if their receivers are covered or if they’re unsure, they’ll just run and get a first down. It doesn’t take very long to rack up 40 rushing yards when the QB does this.

    There’s a lot to like about the rookie quarterback no matter how the Seattle offense comes together. So even if you already have two quarterbacks on your roster, consider stashing Wilson for the first few weeks of the season.

    Week 1 Start/Sit Advice: Don’t Get Cute

    by  • September 8, 2011 • Start or Sit • 0 Comments

    Keep Calm and Drink Beer Poster - Etsy

    It’s Week 1. I have to assume that you like the team you drafted, and you don’t have enough evidence to give up on your sleepers yet. So when it comes to setting your lineup, don’t make it complicated. Start your studs. You have no reason to doubt them yet. Even if they have...

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