• A Fool and His Money in Week 11

    by  • November 13, 2008 • Best Bets • 0 Comments

    It’s go time. Once again, a ‘$’ marks all of Nick’s locks of the week while a ‘#’ marks all of Chadam’s locks.

    Thursday Night Football: New York Jets at New England Patriots

    SPLIT DECISION!
    Chadam Takes: Jets (+3) over PATRIOTS
    Nick Takes: PATRIOTS (-3) over Jets

    In taking the Jets, Chadam says: I’ll admit, I’m sucked in to this Mangini-Belichick rivalry — if only Tom Brady were here to help run up the score. I like how the Jets sign Ty Law, who’s probably old enough to have a son that’s playing in the NFL, just to gain some knowledge of New England game plans. At least, they aren’t REALLY planning on starting Ty Law, right?

    In taking the Patriots, Nick says: Brett Favre has not improved within the Jets system this year. Matt Cassel has improved within the Patriots system this year. I think this game will come down to Favre having to make some plays, and the Patriots defense will step up to stop him.

    Detroit Lions at New England Patriots

    SPLIT DECISION!
    Chadam Takes: Lions (+14.5) over PANTHERS
    Nick Takes: PANTHERS (-14.5) over Lions

    In taking the Lions, Chadam says: I really like the Panthers, but that is one helluva spread. There’s no way the Lions win a game on the road, but it had better be a damn good team for me to lay more than two touchdowns. Carolina isn’t there for me… yet.

    In taking the Panthers, Nick says: I hate giving up 14.5 points to anyone. I hate it. But there is no way I could possibly pick the Lions, who are playing Daunte Culpepper and Drew Stanton at QB. What am I supposed to do? Talk myself into them? I’ll go with this: Jake Delhomme and the Panthers played horribly last week, so we can expect a bounce back game in which they put up a ton of points. That is how I justify giving up 14.5 points.

    Denver Broncos at Atlanta Falcons

    SPLIT DECISION!
    Chadam Takes: FALCONS (-5.5) over Broncos
    Nick Takes: Broncos (+5.5) over FALCONS

    In taking the Falcons, Chadam says: I miss the good old days when people thought the Falcons sucked. They would’ve been seven-point underdogs. This pick is a lot harder now. I’m betting the Falcons will get a few more stops than Denver does. We’ll see how that plays out.

    In taking the Broncos, Nick says: I know the Falcons are undefeated at home and playing well, but something in my gut is telling me to take the Broncos in this one. I want to pick against the Broncos for what they did to me earlier this season, but at least they spoiled Miss Quinn’s debut last week.

    Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts

    SPLIT DECISION!
    Chadam Takes: Texans (+8.5) over COLTS
    Nick Takes: COLTS (-8.5) over Texans

    In taking the Texans, Chadam says: At least with Sage behind center, we might suck hard enough to get a good draft pick. Sigh.

    In taking the Colts, Nick says: This is an intriguing matchup. The Texans should have won earlier this year against the Colts, but Sage Rosenfels unraveled to give the game away. Sage is back to being a starter, but after last week’s performance, I doubt he has recovered from what happened in the last Colts game. Indy has been winning ugly the past few weeks, but I think this will be a breakout game for them.

    Oakland Raiders at Miami Dolphins

    SPLIT DECISION!
    Chadam Takes: Raiders (+10.5) over DOLPHINS
    Nick Takes: DOLPHINS (-10.5) over Raiders

    In taking the Raiders, Chadam says: I don’t really trust the Dolphin’s ability to cover big spreads. Besides, this feels like a week in which the Raiders will bust out their awesome defense and turn this game into a 10-7 contest that’s useless for fantasy purposes.

    In taking the Dolphins, Nick says: What a dysfunctional organization. I’ll just stick with the usual: the Raiders suck, their owner sucks, their coach sucks, their top draft picks suck, and, last but not least, their fans suck. Go Ricky Williams and the Dolphins!

    Minnesota Vikings at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    SPLIT DECISION!
    Chadam Takes: BUCS (-4) over Vikings
    Nick Takes: Vikings (+4) over BUCS

    In taking the Bucs, Chadam says: This is a coin-flip game, so I’ll go with the better defense.

    In taking the Vikings, Nick says: I think the Vikings might have found something within themselves in the comeback win against the Packers last week. Let’s see if it carries over. It’s tough to pick against Purple Jesus.

    New Orleans Saints at Kansas City Chiefs

    SPLIT DECISION!
    Chadam Takes: CHIEFS (+5) over Saints
    Nick Takes: Saints (-5) over CHIEFS

    In taking the Chiefs, Chadam says: To think, one month ago, this would’ve been a no-brainer. While I think the Chiefs will play well at home, the Saints will roll if Reggie Bush plays.

    In taking the Saints, Nick says: The Chiefs have remained surprisingly competitive the past few weeks and covered the spread the past three. With that said, I’m still taking the Saints. I told you to expect big games from Marques Colston because I traded him in fantasy football, and look what happened.

    Philadelphia Eagles at Cincinnati Bengals

    Fools Take: Eagles (-9.5) over BENGALS $

    In taking the Eagles, Nick says: Did anyone else hear Ocho Cinco say he thinks the Bengals can finish 8-8? If he had a reality show I would watch it just to see if we are living on the same planet. Ryan Fitzpatrick may be from Harvard, but he is going to have a lot of trouble dealing with Jim Johnson and all his crazy blitzes. The Eagles need this one to stay in the playoff hunt.

    Baltimore Ravens at New York Giants

    SPLIT DECISION!
    Chadam Takes: GIANTS (-6.5) over Ravens
    Nick Takes: Ravens (+6.5) over GIANTS

    In taking the Giants, Chadam says: This matchup will be the first game where I’m not sure the Giants are heavily favored. Now that the creampuff section of their schedule is over, I’m interested to see how they hold up against another great defense.

    In taking the Ravens, Nick says: Both these teams are looking really good right now, but the Ravens have been destroying teams as of late. Both teams have solid defenses, potent running games and fearless quarterbacks, albeit one is fearless because he is a rookie and doesn’t know any better. This matchup is the type of game the Baltimore defense loves. I’m taking the points in this one.

    San Diego Chargers at Pittsburgh Steelers

    Fools Take: STEELERS (-4.5) over Chargers #

    In taking the Steelers, Nick says: I don’t like either team in this game. The Steelers have lost two of their last three, and the Chargers are hanging on by the skin on their teeth. Normally, I would take the points in a game like this one, but I think the Steelers have the better defense and at least the ability to turn this game into a blow out.

    In choosing the Steelers as a lock, Chadam says: If this was 2006, I might be more worried, but 2008′s Tomlinson and Co. does not scare me one bit.

    Tennessee Titans over Jacksonville Jaguars

    Fools Take: Titans (-3) over JAGS $ #

    In taking the Titans, Nick says: The Titans are getting no respect from the odds makers. I know the Jags looked “good” last week against a Daunte Culpepper led Lions team, but come on. This is the same team that got beat by the Bengals two weeks ago. I haven’t forgotten that.

    Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks

    Fools Take: Cardinals (-2.5) over SEAHAWKS #

    In taking the Cardinals, Nick says: Will Hasselbeck make all the Seahawks’ problems disappear? I don’t think so. Kurt Warner, on the other hand, has made everyone forget that Matt Leinart is waiting in the wings. Warner is a passing machine in the Cardinals’ offense and will continue to be even more of a threat with Hightower catching out of the backfield.

    St. Louis Rams at San Francisco 49ers

    Fools Take: 49ERS (-6) over Rams

    In taking the 49ers, Nick says: The 49ers didn’t win last week, but they showed some fight. That’s good enough for me to take them over the Rams. Do you remember a few weeks ago when everybody was claiming Jim Haslett saved their season? They were wrong.

    Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers

    SPLIT DECISION!
    Chadam Takes: PACKERS (-4) over Bears
    Nick Takes: Bears (+4) over PACKERS

    In taking the Packers, Chadam says: I still think that the Pack will win this division. Their defense is getting a little healthier — well, at least their secondary. Besides, betting on Rex Grossman is bad for your health. [Note from Jacob: Kyle Orton is currently listed as probable for this game.]

    In taking the Bears, Nick says: It would be nice to know Orton’s status for this game. I’m going to assume he is playing. The Packers have struggled lately and the Bears have lost a few close games. I’m taking the points in what I expect to be a close, division rivalry game.

    Sunday Night Football: Dallas Cowboys at Washington Redskins

    SPLIT DECISION!
    Chadam Takes: Cowboys (-2) over REDSKINS
    Nick Takes: REDSKINS (+2) over Cowboys

    In taking the Cowboys, Chadam says: My fantasy hopes rest on Tony Romo, so I might as well double down, right?

    In taking the Redskins, Nick says: I don’t care if Romo is back or not. The Redskins have already beaten them at Dallas, and I’m taking the Redskins with points in a no-brainer. Not quite a lock, but without a doubt, you have to take the Redskins at home with points.

    Monday Night Football: Cleveland Browns at Buffalo Bills

    SPLIT DECISION!
    Chadam Takes: Browns (+4.5) over BILLS
    Nick Takes: BILLS (-4.5) over Browns

    In taking the Browns, Chadam says: I’m torn between betting against Coach Romeo and betting against crappy Trent Edwards. Let’s take the points and see where that gets us.

    In taking the Bills, Nick says: The Bills are unraveling like I said they would a few weeks ago, but the Browns… “I cannot play with them; I cannot win with them, cannot coach with them, can’t do it.” I hate Brady Quinn, and I hate Braylon Edwards after wasting my first round pick on him in fantasy football. Screw you, Cleveland.

    Nick’s Lock ($): Eagles (-9.5) over BENGALS, Titans (-3) over JAGS

    Chadam’s Locks (#): STEELERS (-4.5) over Chargers, Titans (-3) over JAGS, Cardinals (-2.5) over SEAHAWKS

    Last Week:

    Nick: 10-3

    Current Standings after Week 10:

    Nick: 76-62-2
    Nick’s Locks: 2-1

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