• A Fool and His Money in Week 4

    by  • September 28, 2008 • Best Bets • 0 Comments

    Move over Kevin Garnett, we have a new No. 1 on Chadam’s “Most Hated Athlete for Gambling Purposes” list: Brett Favre.

    Let me explain. I made a much larger wager than I should have last week given my gambling budget. I was bored and thinking about my upcoming trip to Vegas. These things happen. I made a three-team, 10-point teaser on these teams and lines: Panthers (+13.5), Bills (+0.5) and Jets (+18.5).

    The Panthers came through for me, but the Bills almost screwed up my wager before the second slate of Sunday games even began. They were 9.5-point home favorites over the Raiders, so with my revised line, all they had to do was win the game. Easier said than done with JaMarcus Russell’s 84-yard bomb to some hick named Johnnie Lee Higgins nearly ruining my day. Thanks to Trent Edwards, the Bills were able to drill a last minute, game-winning field goal, and my bet remained intact. Everything was up to Favre and the Jets in the Monday night game.

    I’m not going to lie. I was quietly confident that I would win. I felt pretty good heading into Monday night considering I shouldn’t have had a live wager in the first place, and I was getting 18.5 and Favre against a winless team with a banged up defense.

    Yeah, I was wrong. Final score: Jets 29, Chargers 48.

    Remember my spread? How about these “highlights” from the game:

    • There were six lead changes, and four of those were in the fourth quarter.
    • New York attempted three onside kicks and recovered one. The Chargers scored touchdowns on both the other attempts, in no small part because of the field position.
    • Brett Favre had FIVE chances to complete a two-point conversion that would have won my bet…and he went 0-5.
    • For the final two-point conversion attempt, the ball was placed six inches from the goal line due to multiple penalties. Tony Kornheiser and I were thinking the same thing: “Wow, six inches…you gotta run a quarterback sneak, right?” I almost died when Favre came out in the shotgun. Of course, the attempt failed.

    This was definitely the most devastating gambling loss I have ever experienced. It wasn’t even about the money (though every time I remember the large payout slipping through my fingers, it’s salt in the wound). It was the fact that I was on an emotional rollercoaster for three hours straight while cheering for an enormous wager that I was extremely lucky to have in the first place given the first two games.

    Not only will I hate Brett Favre from now until eternity, I am also officially off the Jets’ bandwagon. Screw gambling, I’m taking a break.

    But one thing I’m not taking a break from is beating Nick like a rented mule as he collapsed with a 4-12 record in Week 3. I went a respectable 7-9 to tie the season records at 23-23-1 apiece.

    Week 4 is the shortest week of the year since Hurricane Ike changed Houston and Baltimore’s bye. Buckle up. Here’s how it goes down Sunday.

    Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs

    Chadam Takes: Broncos (-9.5) over CHIEFS
    The Broncos are going to run up the score early in this one. I know it’s still early, but it looks like Bowe is headed down the Andre Johnson career path: great receiver on a terrible offense with line issues.

    Nick Takes: Broncos (-9.5) over CHIEFS
    Last week was pretty tough on me. A lot of games were closer than I thought they would be, but does anybody actually believe KC has a chance in this game? They are on a 12-game losing streak from last season. This game has potential for a 10-point teaser.

    Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals

    Chadam Takes: BENGALS (-3.5) over Browns
    I really just want to see the Browns give Quinn the reigns to see if Nick’s head explodes. Props are needed though. Nick was hating on Brady Quinn before hating on him was cool, before his Notre Dame days.

    Nick Takes: BENGALS (-3.5) over Browns
    I didn’t think the Browns would do well this year, but I didn’t expect them to be on a record-low pace for points scored in a season. With two teams this bad, I would normally take the points, but the Bengals at least showed signs of life last week in the overtime loss to the Giants.

    Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars

    Chadam Takes: Texans (+7.5) over JAGUARS
    My boy Steve Slaton! What a pimp. This guy pisses excellence in the morning. Thank God the Ahman Green era is almost over.

    Nick Takes: Texans (+7.5) over JAGUARS
    The Texans always play the Jags close for some reason. This game could easily be a blowout, but the Texans found a RB last weekend in Steve Slaton who should help take some pressure off Matt Schaub. The nagging injuries to Fred Taylor and MJD this week also make me uneasy of picking the Jags to cover.

    Arizona Cardinals at New York Jets

    Chadam Takes: Cardinals (+2) over JETS
    I hate you, Favre.

    Nick Takes: Cardinals (+2) over JETS
    The Jets are not going to magically change from a 4-12 team into a solid playoff team just because Brett Favre was added to the mix. If they want a chance to be a playoff team, they need to beat teams like Arizona. I personally don’t see it happening though.

    San Francisco 49ers at New Orleans Saints

    Chadam Takes: SAINTS (-6) over 49ers
    News Flash: This won’t be a defensive battle. Don’t hurt yourself jumping off the J.T. O’Sullivan bandwagon after this week.

    Nick Takes: 49ers (+6) over SAINTS
    The Saints might as well be Seattle Junior the way they keep losing their best receivers. The 49ers look like they actually have some confidence and believe they can win. They haven’t had that since way before the failed Alex Smith experiment.

    Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers

    Chadam Takes: PANTHERS (-7) over Falcons
    I’m not sure Matt Ryan is ready for road games yet. This game is my litmus test for Michael Turner. A good game here will make me a believer.

    Nick Takes: PANTHERS (-7) over Falcons
    I like this Falcons team. I want them to win, but any team who plays the Lions and the Chiefs will have two wins. As a young team, you might expect the Falcons to have a chance to make a game-tying drive in the fourth quarter, but their inexperience will produce mistakes that turn the game into a blowout. It’s just part of the growing pains for young teams. I expect have the same pains against the Panthers. Count on it.

    Minnesota Vikings at Tennessee Titans

    Chadam Takes: TITANS (-3) over Vikings
    In a week where there aren’t a lot of lines that jump out at me, this game is my favorite game of the week. I think both teams have a similar blueprint, but Tennessee executes it better, especially at home.

    Nick Takes: TITANS (-3) over Vikings
    I’m tempted to pick the Vikings in this one because they are pretty good against the run, but the Titans defense has been sick so far this season. I’m not ready to congratulate Brad Childress on his brilliant move, starting Gus Frerotte. I still remember what my Dad told me.

    Green Bay Packers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    Chadam Takes: BUCCANEERS (-1) over Packers
    This game is really testing my love for the Bucs, but I’ll roll with them here. I think Rodgers will have too much trouble with the underrated Bucs defense.

    Nick Takes: Packers (+1) over BUCCANEERS
    How many Bucs players can actually spell Buccaneers correctly without looking? Professional sports franchises shouldn’t have names that are hard to spell, even if they have a shorter nickname. Just use the nickname. Also, I don’t consider it a good thing when you need 60+ passes in one game. It just means you suck at running the ball.

    Buffalo Bills at St. Louis Rams

    Chadam Takes: Bills (-8) over RAMS
    Last time I checked, Trent Green can’t pass block any better than Marc Bulger can. The Rams are taking a step sideways here, and since I have nothing else to add, I love how Anheuser-Busch’s impending sale to a European brewery created all of the unexpected backlash from people claiming that drinking Bud is now “anti-American.” Think that has anything to do with the release and heavy promotion of the new Budweiser “American Ale?”

    Nick Takes: Bills (-8) over RAMS
    Do you ever look back and wonder what you were thinking when you made a decision that is so obviously horrible? That’s how I feel about picking the Rams last week. Right now, I would pick a high school team to cover the spread against the Rams.

    Washington Redskins at Dallas Cowboys

    Chadam Takes: DALLAS (-11.5) over Redskins
    I’m nervous giving up this many points, but Dallas trounced the Packers. The Packers are better than the Redskins, so…

    Nick Takes: Redskins (+11.5) over DALLAS
    Dallas looks good. There is no doubt about it. But I’ve talked about how much I like Jason Campbell and this Redskins team all season long, and they are starting to back me up. They may not against Dallas, but I expect them to keep it within single digits.

    San Diego Chargers at Oakland Raiders

    Chadam Takes: Chargers (-7) over RAIDERS
    Welcome to the regular season, San Diego! You’re only two weeks late, and you’re just in time to show us how bad the Raiders really are.

    Nick Takes: Chargers (-7) over RAIDERS
    I hate everything about the Raiders from the owner to their uniform to their QB. They may have surprised everybody in the past two weeks, but they are the same old Raiders. The Chargers found their groove on Monday night, and I expect this game to get out of hand quickly.

    Philadelphia Eagles at Chicago Bears

    Chadam Takes: Eagles (-3) over BEARS
    The only reason Jon Gruden decided to throw 67 times on Chicago has to be that he saw something on tape, right? That guy loves to run the ball. You know Andy Reid will notice the same thing. With Westbrook at less than 100 percent, I’m wondering if Reid will call a single running play.

    Nick Takes: Eagles (-3) over BEARS
    Assuming McNabb stays healthy this entire game, I like the Eagles in this one. After dropping Big Ben nine times last week, I expect at least five sacks on Kyle Orton this week. The Bears impressed me in their opening game against the Colts but have looked much more mediocre the last two weeks.

    Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers

    Chadam Takes: Ravens (+7) over STEELERS
    There might not be seven points scored in this game. A little change of pace considering the previous Monday nights, huh?

    Nick Takes: Ravens (+7) over STEELERS
    I like the Ravens in this one because the Steelers offense has struggled these past two weeks against the Browns and the Eagles. The Ravens defense is back to being straight up nasty. The strong running game will be enough to cover Joe Flacco in this one.

    Last Week:

    Nick: 4-12
    Chadam: 7-9

    Current Standings after Week 2:

    Chadam: 23-23-1
    Nick: 23-23-1
    Bill Simmons: 23-23-1

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